"
The two first parliamentary elections in late 1990 , are revealing. Armando
Guebuza as the bench boss linked to Frelimo in parliament , has been able to
transform itself in opposition to Frelimo in relation to the government of
President Joaquim Chissano.But as Renamo was never able to use parliament as a
platform to present itself as an opposition with alternative policies and
ideas, " Hanlon vinca . " Finally , he says , Dhlakama proved to be a
bad negotiator, persisting in making demands and maximize resources boycott
instead of negotiating as their primary tactic . In 2000 , he declined an offer
to participate in the appointment of provincial governors in which he and his
party had won in the 1999 elections , which would have given an opportunity to
significantly increase his political prestige , but he rejected it demanding
more and more , and in the end getting nothing . " Joseph Hanolon
continues , already addressing the issue in the negotiations over the electoral
package , where once again Dhlakama has again proved that it is a pésssimo
negotiator.
"
Similarly , the wording of the new electoral law ... the Renamo leadership not taken the opportunity to make changes to electoral law that would have been designed by Renamo " , and guided by the theory of maximum gains , such as when the call parity requires the Commission national elections in which the opposition would have 10 of the 14 members that form, which of course was refused by Frelimo , because it is against what is regimented by Parliament . But now MDM minority party has agreed to be this Commission .
Similarly , the wording of the new electoral law ... the Renamo leadership not taken the opportunity to make changes to electoral law that would have been designed by Renamo " , and guided by the theory of maximum gains , such as when the call parity requires the Commission national elections in which the opposition would have 10 of the 14 members that form, which of course was refused by Frelimo , because it is against what is regimented by Parliament . But now MDM minority party has agreed to be this Commission .
In
its analysis as realistic as this type is renowned British journalist and
academic, makes it very clear to both those pro and against Renamo , which
Dhlakama and his acolytes have already aware that have lost most of those who
supported them, and that is why now chooses to appeal again to arms , face to
miss the force of razão.Ele shows that miss the force of reason , pointing as
evidence the fact that it had in the 1994 and 1999 elections , around and over
2 million votes , respectively , but in 2004 and especially in 2009 ,
supporting Dhlakama have limited the latter to 650,000 people who voted for him
. Indeed , Renamo had in 1994 , 112 members , 129 against Frelimo , and in 1999
had 117 against 133 Frelimo , but already in 2004 , had only 90 deputies , and
even then had to gather more parties , and in 2009 , had only 51 points
deputados.Hanlon withdrawal Dhlakama Maputo to Nampula and then into the woods
of Santundjira as having sharp further its near invisibility and consequently
his forgetfulness by the apoivam yet.
"
Dhlakama is a good military strategist, and several of the attacks that the
cable has been taking in recent months ( this year ) were well planned and
effective . But he is in bad tactic, because it has no clear vision of what he
hopes to achieve, and merely presenting a list of demands maximized " ,
vinca Hanlon .
This
academic says Dhlakama will lose again this war began , because this time is a
bad situation , as it is without the support it had when it moved the 16 years
that culminated with the agreement of Rome in 1992 , because at that time , was
massively supported by the then apartheid regime of South Africa , and
indirectly , by the West who saw Frelimo as an agent and ally of the then
communist regimes .
Hanlon
cites the then UN representative in Mozambique from 1993-1994 , Dr Aldo Ajello
, as reiterated what puts unreasonable demands on Dhlakama , is that he wants
more and more money . Ajello says " always stressed that Renamo was more
interested in money than for political power , and to gain their adherence to
peace and harmony , it was giving him this money and big houses in Maputo ,
while if you allowed its members living in hotels , spending did to his will or
the extent of their whims . " " And the current dispute has its basis
in money " , concludes Hanlon , saying that some Renamo leaders have said
that on the sly envy the money power and the great houses of some of the
political Frelimo , reveals Hanlon as the seconding another revelation of Alex
Vain , another British academic and also reputed that even to Rome to sign the
peace agreement was after being paid by the now deceased millionaire British
Tiny Rawlands . There are also many people who argues that even those not being
Renamo also support this warmongering against Frelimo , mostly are also driven
by the realization that frelimos eat alone , or are driven by envy that nourish
deles.Os that support this view submit that such people drop their mask of envy
when they use the terms " comrades " and " frelimistas " in
a pejorative tone as if they had done so much harm to the country, and in
return , revealing much sympathy Renamo that never really done anything
substantial and useful for Mozambique , but have been an instrument of the
apartheid war and Ian Smith .
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