Mozambique will surpass
all five benchmarks used by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to evaluate
debt sustainability by July, the government admits in documents presented at
meetings with creditors.“By the end of 2017, all indicators of Mozambique Debt
Sustainability Analysis (except the ratio of debt service to exports) were
above the prudence threshold for countries with an average Country Policy and
Institutional Assessment ( CPIA),” one pages of the presentation to creditors
held on March 20 in London reads.
Below, it is stated
that “until March 20, 2018, Mozambique had delays in the payments of Mozam2023,
MAM and Proindicus [the sovereign debt securities maturing in 2023 and the two
loans contracted by two public companies with state guarantees] amounting to
approximately US$636 million,” which means that all five IMF-defined ceilings
had been exceeded.Under the Fund’s internal rules, countries that exceed these
levels are unable to receive financial assistance, making Mozambique’s already
complicated economic situation even more difficult.In the spotlight are the
current value of debt vis-à-vis GDP, exports and revenues, debt service in
relation to exports and debt service against the value of revenues.By the end of last
year, only the ration of debt service to exports was below the limit defined by
the Fund, but a change in criteria in July means this value exceeds the maximum
level indicated by the IMF.