"Do not have the power and total control over the machines"

Eleven months after taking office as the fourth President of Mozambique, and just over nine months after assuming the presidency of the party Frelimo, "sit still one shy of the President Nyusi, perhaps because it does not have the strength and full control over the governmental and party machine ", says in an interview with @Verdade Professor Luís de Brito, who suggests an anticipation of the Congress political formation in power" not only for the renewal of the teams leaders of the organs but to a clarification of the line policy". On the political and military tension Professor of Anthropology and Sociology of Policy states that "the next government is not enough to say that we are open to dialogue" and warns also to the "growing dissatisfaction resulting from the price increase (...) I I would even say that this is much more serious even than the tension with Renamo, because here will deeply touch the society. "

"There is a big difference between the speech of investiture and this first State of the Nation speech, the tone is not exactly the same. The first speech created a lot of expectations, pointed out, at least in form, a profound break with the past and promised a series of developments that would, to my mind in the right direction, "begins by explaining the teacher who, shortly after tenure Nyusi, listed the main challenges of the new head of state in an article published in the book "Challenges for Mozambique in 2015," the Institute of Social and Economic Studies (IESE).

"A year later we see a speech that despite being modest is not arrogant, it is still different from what we were accustomed in President Guebuza governance of time. Speech is much more peaceful, much less accusatory but I think it reflects a little the difficulty of the President assume their function. Ie the investiture he was not yet the rule and then be confronted with the need to create your team, to create his government to negotiate deep in their position within the party system although formally he has ended up being elected the party chairman but it is clear that after eleven months since he has no power just as had President Guebuza. Therefore it is still in its power construction process, one thing is the formal power as party president and as president, formally he has all the powers "notes Luis de Brito who also points out," in fact we see and We feel for the conduct of the things he has none of these powers all. And therefore it features a state of the nation in which he admits that is not very good so that says `we are not satisfeitos', but I think the core issue is not that."

"Perhaps the weakness of the speech is the difficulty in definitively breaking with the past and make room for a debate, for example, about what are the real causes of the difficulties facing the country today. Of course there are external issues, of course the appreciation of the dollar on world markets would be reflected in the depreciation of the metical, but maybe there are also internal dynamics our economy that negatively reinforce trends that come from the global economy. You must open a little analysis, debate, and not simply declare that we are open to hearing all sectors this is not enough, are forward-looking statements, you have to go to different steps if the President Nyusi want to make a difference, "says the Director of Research at the Institute of Social and Economic Studies (IESE) who feels "still one shy of the President Nyusi perhaps because it does not have the power and full control over the governmental and party machine".For Professor of Anthropology and Sociology of Politics this weakness also is due to the fact that Philip Nyusi not be a politician, "comes from the business of the state and suddenly sector was for the Government, to a ministry that does not address the essentials of economic governance, and even more suddenly he reached President. I would say that it was not installed in the political world, he still had his own authority, is not someone who has seconded by position or by a line of interpretation. Basically it became political from the day you became a candidate for president. He obviously needs time to build its internal alliances to be able to assert its line of interpretation of the phenomena and their course of action. "These past eleven months Luís de Brito also gives the benefit of doubt to the Head of State does not believe it is completely a puppet. "But it does not have a large room for maneuver that is evident, particularly regarding the military question and the issue of confrontation with the party Renamo. The management of the process with the party Renamo shows that there is a contradiction on the one hand statements he made and the other initiative he took, how to meet with President Dhlakama and a little arrogant and simplicity, it enters in contrast to what happens in reality then it is clearly an attempt to push the Renamo party to an armed confrontation. "

But academic at the University Eduardo Mondlane note that Nyusi is taking to play a leading role, "what will be needed at some point is actually that President Nyusi finally assume the role and decide to break, will have to be a painful childbirth, because otherwise it will be permanently wrapped within the party system and can not promote a different government line. "For the first State of the Nation the President Director of Research at IESE states that "It is not enough to identify the problems and continue to use the same drugs that were used, public policy has to be changed. The list of authorities with civil society in general have to change, you need to hear a lot more people, we need to take more responsibility in the discussion of issues and options and I'll give an example where it was necessary to start scoring the presence and make the break: the question of EMATUM. Clearly much of the difficulties we are facing is related to the issue of debt, and the debt issue is directly related to the big cake that EMATUM obliges the State to take over. And we continue to have the boats today stopped. Here is a sector that is necessary to break because otherwise he will remain a prisoner of the system ".Luís de Brito thinks that the President of Mozambique took over the leadership of Frelimo party is one of the biggest challenges of Philip Nyusi because" if it is to precisely reproduce the problem we have fund that is the confusion between the party and the state. If Nyusi was not party chairman he would continue to be President because it was elected, would have another legitimacy and would perhaps be better able to face the party and forces it to evolve. Standing as party president is more or less imprisoned by groups that already there are installed, and that he'll have to uninstall if you want to take your team to support a different project. "

In his first report to the Nation the fourth President of Mozambique he said he had come "the time to choose where we want to be in the coming years. It is time to choose which country we want to leave behind for our children and grandchildren. Much of this legacy is born of political and economic decisions we make today. "For Professor Luís de Brito height is crucial not only for the people but rather to Filipe Nyusi. "I think it's one of the contradictions, he went probably thinking I could do something and then there's the reality of things, the management of day-to-day pressures, interests, the inertia of the equipment that takes to put down to earth and say that after all I do not have that much space, and that you are to see. Now we know what will be his attitude going forward. Will be a fighting attitude in what is assumed they were his ideas (which was a transformation of political relations in the country, greater openness, there was sincerity in what he said that good ideas can come from anywhere), or it will be accommodated to the system in this case will not leave absolutely no legacy, rather then the situation will degrade because the coming years will be difficult economically and politically as well. "One of the solutions so that the President of Mozambique and Chairman of the Frelimo party, can really take state power and its party is the anticipation of the next Congress, scheduled only for 2017. "The anticipation of a Congress was perfectly normal even for face, again, what is our position on the various dimensions of this crisis that is affecting the country. There are new data, it was good that the party make a reflection. What is the reflection that the party is the issue of decentralization, which indirectly is that which is aa be placed on the table by Renamo. I am convinced that within the Frelimo party there are many forces that are in favor of decentralization. This would allow not only the renewal of the teams leaders of the organs but a clarification of the political line. Unfortunately, so far, President Nyusi had no such initiative, or was not able to force it to happen. Because the center of power is in the state, and from the moment that the President has the least control over the state, he can start working with the party and put it to work for him and not against him, "said Luis Brito.

With regard to political and military crisis that pits the ruling party Frelimo and the main opposition party, Renamo, the Mozambican academic wishes to draw attention that everyone says Afonso Dhlakama talks but does nothing "but only what he speech is enough to create instability in the country and, for example, prevent development of small businesses, small investment, which are those that create more jobs, there are large multinational gas or coal that will solve the the employment problem in Mozambique. "Luis de Brito thinks is "quite understandable that there is no dialogue when the other party feels threatened in his life," have no doubt that we are "entering a new year with quite bleak prospects" and points out that the "ball" is on the side from the government."The step has been taken in a sense, when the party Renamo said we will continue to talk but with international observers and the reaction was not, we were among Mozambicans can solve our problems, now this is a clear rejection of dialogue. Because if one party says I do not trust you need this referee on the side of the Government is not enough to say that we are open to dialogue, there is a concrete proposal that was rejected because it involved foreign negotiators. "However, the research director of the Institute of Social and Economic Studies highlights another potential challenge for Filipe Nyusi solve that is the growing dissatisfaction resulting from the price increase. "What is worrying is that the conditions are met, the poverty of the people is enormous stress to solve the food problem in day-to-day among the poorest in the big cities is increasing, you remember that the Arab Spring said It began with an individual problem of a seller to be pursued there by municipal police ended up sacrificing yourself and what triggered those movements that spread, we are exactly in such a situation. I would even say that this is much more serious even than the tension with Renamo, because here will touch deep in society and I do not see how it will solve unless by a strong repression, then what triggers From there will be much more painful than that confrontation with Renamo ".