Tuesday, June 19, 2012

This struggle for power than governance

In Frelimo party hosts do not talk about anything other than a "Guebuza", the DNA Guebuza, who will remain in power, who will serve Guebuza for him to continue to send in the shadow, of whom it will serve Guebuza if the X or not Congress will be elected another member to the post of party president, the congress of Pemba will be announced or not the Frelimo candidate for president in 2014 if the candidate will be the current Secretary-General if the candidate for President of the Republic will become the next secretary general, if Congress will refer to the decision of the Central Committee is elected in Pemba the choice of presidential candidate for PR in 2014, well ... They are huge variables . One, however, seems irrefutable: Armando Guebuza will become a kind of monarch and not to allow the relocation of the power to coordinate the other country, before an investment framework highly appetizing, the overwhelming majority of the Save river, in confluence of Sofala and Inhambane, and the Rovuma River, which borders the United Republic of Tanzania.
The persons who know the story of Armando Guebuza in his political trajectory is of the opinion that everything is open, but surely that Guebuza has everything planned in detail. All of them are still of the opinion that those who feel cheated by Guebuza, who took him to the highest rank in the party and be a candidate for president and then to make it there has come and there has been maintained at the expense know the tricks that will not have the same power today to end their fancies they had to rule that way Joaquim Chissano desprestigiante that those with a bit of memory will remember. Yes, desprestigiante ... was pushed or not?! He also tried to stay there but was eventually betrayed. Then gave him the post of Honorary President of the party, but can not go around whining that put focus in the photograph ...
The current head of state can not, under the Constitution of the Republic of Mozambique, to continue in the highest judiciary of the State, because the position of President of the Republic that is inherent in the position of head of government is limited to two terms.
Article 146 of the Constitution of the Republic of Mozambique (CRM) states that the President is the head of state, and the President is the head of government. Since Article 147 states that the President can be reelected only once, and the President of the Republic who has been elected twice in a row can only apply to presidential elections five years after the last term.
Assessment of these two items left field to wonder if Armando Guebuza and may not be the candidate of Frelimo in 2014, because even though a new constitution was supposed to Guebuza can not even apply for the current being still in force, so he might be appointed Prime Minister, the next president-elect, he has been head of the Government under Article 146 of CRM?
Philip Paúnde, secretary general of Frelimo, has come to have a walk all party members who assumed they could have something to say in the next Congress, next September, in Pemba. To Paúnde is undisputed that Guebuza will continue to be the party chairman of both.
It is also to be seen whether the X Congress will be elected Frelimo Party candidate to the next election for president.
From within Frelimo out voices to claim that Guebuza has his supporters on the pitch to buy delegates to the Congress so that everything will come out of feature in Pemba.
In this context, they remember those who know well that "the DNA Guebuza" does not let you let things flow freely. "He expects everything to the detail." Hence one can believe that Philip Paúnde are instructed to come forward to say that President Guebuza will continue the party, period! .. Democracies aside, this is how so! ...
Paúnde But the claim was not well accepted by all sides of the Frelimo party, there is anticipation that even though all may seem quiet in the framework of political cynicism is to predict the near future the country will not be peaceful and hence forward will be more present the struggle for power than governance.
Now then with the money of mineral resources to serve as attraction, that "marrabenta" will be dancing?
Guebuza will be prepared for Frelimo party as the president continues to have on the bench of Parliament, to send the President of the Republic, and send the Prime Minister if he does not do the job, imposing itself.
We would have a President Armando Guebuza and Frelimo Prime Minister is hypothetically Frelimo won the next legislative and presidential elections. It is a framework that advise us not to underestimate.
Guebuza is unlikely to ever agree to appear in some way subordinate to a possible next president of his party, as prime minister - for all purposes of the first ministers and not exactly the head of government - the most likely that he would be content to remain as president of Frelimo only.
If not continue Guebuza as Frelimo President ends his political career or at least goes to the second division for a few years if not forever. Your age does not help much less returns and it is believed that the history of Mozambique may have written front to back only to accommodate a citizen with monarchical aspirations. If Guebuza retires should not return in 2019. Have not healthy for it. And old ...
The scenario that happens here today we drew an outline, that is, the hypothesis Guebuza remain as chairman of his party, the citizen would be the first entrepreneur to rule the country and its institutions in the elections if the party does not can leave him alone to taste. Mozambique would be deprived of state. Would be run by a private association that pursues political purposes - the Frelimo party.
Mozambique would definitely have state.
The DNA Armando Guebuza allows such dreams. Being in a position to promote the resignation of Prime Minister and ministers who did not obey him; be in a position that allows changing the stones in the Frelimo benches in parliament where suspect a setback; Being able to use the power to even sponsor the "impeachment" of their own PR in the event of being one of his own party, or even a PR of another party or coalition, if the Frelimo party could continue to have absolute majority in Parliament, there is nothing that the Lord does not Guebuza may have architected.
For all these hypotheses and did not say more here, than to elect a president and elect deputies in the next General Elections (Presidential and Parliamentary), 2014, by this turn of events within the Frelimo Party the country may have to choose between a citizen who guindará putting the King and featuring his good pleasure to us all and the wealth of the country, or say definitively that the political boss in Mozambique is the people in whom sovereignty resides.
Talking to Philip Nhussi lately as the man who may be a candidate for president by Frelimo Party as a pivotal figure between Guebuza and the claims of the veterans' wing Maconde Chipande Pachinuapa and not being the party president, which be expected if you reach the head of state?
What role will play the "comrades" of Cabo Delgado and the center and north of the country with mines and so much more to surface in those parts? Will miss the band or will be imposed? What will the voters in the elections of 2014 that with regard to domestic issues Frelimo party people are not taken into account?
For this moment to be the "buddies" help overcome a candidate's current opposition to reach the presidency. We have seen that in municipalities ... But this is something that does not enter the equation since it is restricted to the game for the X Congress ...
If it remains as President Guebuza of the Frelimo party, Philip Paúnde have secured their share and perhaps to see this event on the horizon is to be as helpful to certain roles. It is the land of the applicant including the "queen", a very active First Lady. So until a suitor who put the hypothesis Guebuza have in manga played a Peronist.
"There is nothing that Armando Guebuza is not able to do." Too bad Samora already here is not to count and remove those who have doubts ...
The question put until the Frelimo party itself will eventually admit to become a royalist stronghold, the holding company of Armando Guebuza.
Time will tell ... 

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